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The Signal and the Noise

Why Most Predictions Fail --but Some Don't
Nov 19, 2012binational rated this title 4.5 out of 5 stars
Excellent analysis, with enormous relevance for understanding not only highly accurate election forecasting (for which Silver is best known), but also weather forecasting, terrorism forecasting, accurate forecasting of the effects of CO2 accumulation in the atmosphere. I probably would have given it five stars were it not for the extensive sections on sports and gambling, subjects I find terminably boring. Then again, that could interest a lot of you in reading this book!